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Active Alerts
Current alert status for all 10 Energy sector names. Deep dive trade briefs available for each ticker. Price levels reference technical setups as of 2026-04-30. Always verify current price before acting.
| Ticker | Company | Pattern / Setup | Status | Risk | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 XOM |
Exxon Mobil Corporation | Horizontal Base — Post-Pioneer Accumulation | Watch | Low–Med | Deep Dive |
 CVX |
Chevron Corporation | Descending Channel — Basing / High-Yield Accumulation | Watch | Low–Med | Deep Dive |
 COP |
ConocoPhillips | Bull Flag — Marathon Integration Catalyst | Watch | Low–Med | Deep Dive |
 EOG |
EOG Resources, Inc. | Falling Wedge — Premium Returns Operator Coiling | Watch | Low–Med | Deep Dive |
 FANG |
Diamondback Energy, Inc. | Rectangle Accumulation — Permian Pure-Play Post-Endeavor | Watch | Medium | Deep Dive |
 EQT |
EQT Corporation | Ascending Triangle — LNG Demand + Nat Gas Breakout | Watch | Medium | Deep Dive |
 DVN |
Devon Energy Corporation | Double Bottom — Extreme Oversold Variable Div Recovery | High Risk | Med–High | Deep Dive |
 VLO |
Valero Energy Corporation | Horizontal Support Test — Crack Spread Recovery | Watch | Medium | Deep Dive |
 MPC |
Marathon Petroleum Corporation | Rectangle Base — Buyback Bid + MPLX Midstream Floor | Watch | Low–Med | Deep Dive |
 PSX |
Phillips 66 | Symmetrical Wedge — Diversified Downstream + Elliott Activist | Watch | Medium | Deep Dive |
Top Setups
Integrated Majors
XOM · CVX
XOM PatternHorizontal Base
XOM TargetSubscriber Only$138.00
CVX PatternDesc. Channel
CVX TargetSubscriber Only$172.00
Both majors are absorbing large acquisition digests (Pioneer for XOM, Hess for CVX) while maintaining
fortress balance sheets and 3.5–4.5% dividend yields. These are the highest-quality, lowest-risk
setups in the sector.
Entry and trigger levels reserved for subscribers
Best entries: XOM $105–108 range, CVX $140–145 range. Target breakout trigger: XOM >$118, CVX >$155.
E&P Leaders
COP · EOG · FANG
COP Flag BreakSubscriber Only$108 → $122
EOG Wedge BreakSubscriber Only$128 → $148
FANG Rect BreakSubscriber Only$182 → $210
Risk LevelLow–Medium
COP (bull flag post-Marathon), EOG (falling wedge with Premium Returns discipline), and FANG
(Permian pure-play post-Endeavor) are the three highest-conviction E&P breakout setups.
Break triggers reserved for subscribers
Each has specific break triggers: COP $108, EOG $128, FANG $182. All three require volume confirmation on breakout day.
Refiners
VLO · MPC · PSX
VLO SupportSubscriber Only$115.00
MPC FloorSubscriber Only$140.00
PSX WedgeSubscriber Only$90–112
Crack SpreadSubscriber Only$18–22 /bbl
Refiners are at support after crack spread compression from 2022–2023 peaks.
Support levels reserved for subscribers
VLO testing horizontal support $115 with DGD renewable diesel as earnings floor.
MPC buyback bid defends $140 rectangle base mechanically. PSX symmetrical wedge
coiling with Elliott activist as catalyst. All three yield 2.5–4%+ income during the wait.
High-Risk Watch
DVN · EQT
DVN Double BotSubscriber Only$24–26
DVN NecklineSubscriber Only$36.00
EQT TriangleSubscriber Only$50 breakout
EQT TargetSubscriber Only$62.00
DVN is extreme oversold with a potential double bottom — high-risk / high-reward
confirmation level reserved for subscribersrequiring oil recovery to $65+.
EQT is the pure LNG demand play: ascending triangle with the best structural setup
gas trigger reserved for subscribersif natural gas recovers to $3.50+/mmBtu. Both require commodity confirmation before entry.
Sector Macro Context
Energy sector fundamentals as of 2026-04-30. Commodity prices heavily influence all setups below.
WTI Crude Oil
~$65–75 / bbl Context
Oil is range-bound as OPEC+ production decisions offset US shale growth.
Most E&P names generate positive FCF at $55+. The integrated majors (XOM, CVX) remain
cash-generative at $45+. Watch for OPEC+ meeting outcomes and US rig count as
leading indicators of supply trajectory.
Natural Gas
LNG Export Demand Buildout
LNG export capacity is on track to nearly double by 2028. US nat gas production is
the lowest-cost source for global LNG. AI data center power demand is adding a new
structural demand layer. EQT is the primary beneficiary; XOM, COP, and CVX have
significant LNG exposure via international projects.
Crack Spreads
$18–22/bbl Gulf Coast 3-2-1
Crack spreads are well below 2022–2023 peak ($40+/bbl) but above break-even for US refiners.
VLO, MPC, and PSX are all positioned at support waiting for seasonal driving demand and
potential Mexico import demand to improve margins. Renewable diesel (DGD) provides VLO
with an independent earnings stream.
Status Legend
WatchSetup is actively monitored for confirmation.
High RiskSpeculative setup requiring tighter review.
PendingAlert or brief exists, but the setup is not active yet.
Risk Legend
LowCleaner setup with lower relative risk.
Low-MedModerate risk with favorable structure.
MediumBalanced upside and downside conditions.
Med-HighRequires stronger confirmation before entry.
HighElevated volatility or unresolved setup risk.